Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“there’s likely to be adverse outcomes for patients that will be a dereliction of duty ( the duty to have had a medical license before making this sort of decision or regulation on the practice of doctors ) resulting in direct damages”
· A Case for Federal Racketeering Enforcement Against Utah for Anti-trans Hate Crimes? · substack post

Legal argument that Utah's new law restricting gender-affirming care for minors amounts to practicing medicine without a license. The author expects the law to cause adverse patient outcomes (he cites suicide attempts) that would count as direct damages, the basis for malpractice-style claims.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.