Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 4 Jan 2023 · owen-0257

Quote

Vague or promotional

“I think it’s possible to create psychiatric hospitalization that would work more like medical hospitalizations, with procedural care, rapid acting interventions, and complex treatments that require the kind of nursing care that hospitals provide.”
· Psychiatric hospitalization doesn't prevent suicide, according to the data. · substack post

Essay arguing the data show psychiatric hospitalization does not reduce suicide (Denmark, US veteran, meta-analysis, Brazil data). The author says he would be thrilled to be proven wrong and thinks a procedural, rapid-intervention inpatient model is possible; notes only 1 in 10 US hospitals has ECT access.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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