Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 20 Dec 2022 · owen-0253

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Author’s note: I’m working on a book. Maybe more than one. This is a story. We will see where it ends up.”
· There Was a Tornado Once · substack post Paid

Author's note atop a personal short story about a childhood tornado in Morris, Connecticut. The author says he is working on a book, possibly more than one, and this story is part of that effort.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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