Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“So, I’m going to be writing about those treatments that we already have evidence for in cases such as this. Treatments that work for people who are struggling with suicidal thoughts. I am also going to be writing about emerging options that could reduce the risk of completed suicide for people struggling with thinking about it. I’ll discuss how these options apply in veteran populations.”
· Ending Veteran Suicide · substack post

Series intro on ending veteran suicide (44 veteran suicides per day; no oral antidepressant tested in suicidal people). The author plans articles on evidence-based treatments for suicidal people and on emerging options; embedded hedged claim that emerging options could reduce completed suicide.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.