Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Normative

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 10 Oct 2022 · owen-0201

Quote

Normative

“Thanks, my proposed 2023 Nobel prize winner in medicine, Nolan Williams, M.D.”
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Footnote 11, comparing the 0.2 effect size of Abilify augmentation with the 1.7 effect size of SAINT (Stanford neuromodulation therapy, commercialized by Magnus Medical). The author proposes Nolan Williams, the SAINT researcher, as the 2023 Nobel prize winner in medicine.

'Should', 'must', 'ought to', 'needs to' with no predictive reading.

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