Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 4 Oct 2022 · owen-0183

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“It does not mean that it will be submitted in some unbelievably stale format to JAMA Psychiatry, or any of the other journals that would give it prestige”
· “I Did Not Want to Be Angry All the Time”: Mental Health Clinicians’ Attitudes Towards Taking Insurance · substack post

The author explains he will publish the insurance-attitudes study in the newsletter and will not submit it to JAMA Psychiatry or other academic journals.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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