Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“You will remember "having fewer OCD symptoms" for a while, but not forever, probably.”
· New Hope, for OCD, Is Insurance Covered*, Thanks to This Very Persuasive Newsletter · substack post

Footnote 15, explaining brain stimulation: repeated TMS sessions teach the brain like flash cards; the benefit (fewer OCD symptoms) lasts a while but probably not forever. Generic clinical durability claim addressed to a hypothetical patient.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.