Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“As a programming note, I will be making posts subscribers-only at an unpredictable interval after their initial publication.”
· A Conflict of Interest Disclosure Regarding My Picks for SXSW · substack post

Closing programming note on the newsletter's freemium model: posts will move behind the paywall some time after publication.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.