Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I have a vested professional interest in the success of Brightside, not because I have any money in the game, but because it’s going to enable me to have a reliable partner in a telehealth company with which to refer general psychiatry cases that I do not particularly want to manage given my growing personal focus on the interface of rheumatology and psychiatry.”
· A Conflict of Interest Disclosure Regarding My Picks for SXSW · substack post

Intro to the author's SXSW PanelPicker recommendations. Conditional own plan: if readers vote the recommended panels in, the author attends SXSW and reports on the panels. Later: selection of his wife's panel 'will give me enough juice with my wife to enable me to strongly advocate for my own trip to SXSW'.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.