Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“we have talked, I have hired them, and I will again given half the chance”
· Insurance Plan Requires More Studies on Parachutes: “Unproven and Experimental” · substack post

Footnote 10 on the Validation Institute, which verifies hard-dollar savings for self-funded employers. The author says he has hired them and will hire them again given the chance.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.