Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Expecting them to lower costs, in violation of their fiduciary role to shareholders, however, is a fever dream.”
· Insurance Plan Requires More Studies on Parachutes: “Unproven and Experimental” · substack post

The author says payers are not to blame for perverse incentives; they generate shareholder value, and expecting them to lower costs is unrealistic.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.