Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“But overall, any contention that actually reducing cost is what is going to happen is fictional at best and fraudulent at worst.”
· The Passion of the Medical Loss Ratio: Why Hath Payers Forsaken Mental Health Treatments that Work? · substack post

Same section. Negative call: payers will not actually reduce total health care cost, whatever they say. The preceding sentence concedes some market segments where saving makes sense.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.