Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 11 Jul 2022 · owen-0067

Quote

Not a forecast

“I will make further implausible claims about this treatment for depression: works in five days or less leads to remission for >50% people. doesn’t require any medication. doesn’t require talk therapy (though it may be helpful afterward). is safer than water (in that you can’t overdose) and is considered a minimal risk procedure by the FDA. lasts for months to over a year for some.”
· Can You Cure Depression with this One Weird Trick? · substack post Paid

Framed ironically as 'implausible claims' but stated sincerely: SNT works in five days or less, leads to remission for over 50% of patients, needs no medication or talk therapy, is minimal risk, and lasts for months to over a year for some. These state the Stanford study results as general properties of the treatment.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.

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