Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 2 Jul 2022 · owen-0057

Quote

Outside the five areas

“In the wreckage that follows, doctors can’t practice for lack of insurance, patients can’t get medical care they need, and employers have a massive tax bill if they try to provide insurance.”
· Post Roe Crisis: Mandatory Malpractice Creates Problems for Health Care · substack post

Jenga analogy: Roe v. Wade as the bottom block of legal precedent. Compound forecast of consequences after its removal: uninsurable doctors, patients without care, employers with a massive tax bill.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.

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