Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 2 Jul 2022 · owen-0048

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This is only the first shot. ERISA is next. ... Enforcement is coming. This is not a drill.”
· Post Roe Crisis: Mandatory Malpractice Creates Problems for Health Care · substack post

July 2 (2022) update atop the post. The author says the Department of Justice sued Ohio that day over EMTALA violations and predicts ERISA-based federal action follows; the Department of Labor had 'weighed in' in Massachusetts on fiduciary violations under ERISA the week before.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.

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