Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 6 May 2021 · owen-0001

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Carlene and I will also be presenting with friends and co-authors at the AACAP Conference in 2 weeks here in NYC!”
· Grand-Enough Rounds "On Mentalizing" with Owen Muir, MD · substack post

Closing line of a post about the author's MBT (mentalization-based treatment) grand rounds talk. The author (Owen Muir) and Carlene MacMillan plan to present at the AACAP conference in NYC two weeks after the post (dated 2021-05-06).

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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