Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Rick Doblin · Said 26 Aug 2020 · doblin-0252
Quote
Commitment (own venture)
“the 90% or greater probability of statistical significance was with all hundred people. And so we decided that we would end it with 90. And so the last data point is now coming in about two weeks. And we will have before the end of September, we're going to know if the first phase three study was statistically significant.”
Doblin says MAPP1 stopped at 90 participants and that the result will be known before the end of September 2020.
The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.