Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Report or scoop

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 29 Jun 2022 · doblin-0174

Quote

Report or scoop

“The FDA recently indicated that it will approve a protocol for research into MDMA-assisted group therapy for PTSD at the Portland, Oregon VA.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Bulletin Vol. 32, No. 1 (June 2022) · own post

Vol. 32 No. 1 column. Expected FDA clearance of an MDMA-assisted group therapy protocol at the Portland VA (PI Chris Stauffer).

The statement passes on information rather than an expectation: cites sources ('I am told', 'sources say'), or names a date for another organization's internal action (layoffs, hires, closures) 30 days or less ahead. Listed in the reports table with a confirmation rate, never scored.

← Earlier · Later → · All statements