Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“we will be challenged to raise $30 million to fund research for approval by the European Medicines Agency (EMA); the research supporting FDA and EMA approval would support approval for patient access to MDMA-assisted therapy in many countries of the world.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Winter 2021 · own post

Winter 2021 column. $30M European fundraising goal for EMA research and the expectation that FDA/EMA data would support approvals in many countries.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.