Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“We now can say with certainty that the $30 million recently raised by MAPS, the Psychedelic Science Funders Collaborative (PSFC), author Tim Ferriss, and all other donors in our Capstone Campaign will be sufficient to generate all of the research data we need prior to submitting an NDA to the FDA, and then to Health Canada and the Israeli Ministry of Health.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Autumn 2020 · own post

Autumn 2020 column. Funding-sufficiency claim: the $30M Capstone Campaign covers all research needed before an NDA to FDA, Health Canada and Israel's MoH.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.