Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“We will know definitively before the end of September if our first of two Phase 3 clinical trials was statistically significant.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Summer 2020 · own post

Doblin's Summer 2020 bulletin column. MAPP1, the first Phase 3 trial of MDMA-assisted psychotherapy for PTSD, ended at 90 participants after COVID-19; he says the primary result will be known by end of September 2020.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.