Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 18 Nov 2018 · doblin-0081

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“We’ve also recently enrolled the 76th and final participant in our Phase 2 clinical trial of four different varieties of smoked cannabis for veterans with chronic, treatment-resistant PTSD. We will be able to remove the blind and begin data analysis in the first few months of 2019.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Winter 2018 (MAPS Bulletin Vol. 28, No. 3) · own post

Cannabis/PTSD veterans trial (Sue Sisley, Phoenix) unblinding timeline.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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