Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 18 Aug 2018 · doblin-0076

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“As you read this edition of the Bulletin, our FDA Phase 3 multi-site studies will be in their very earliest stages, with screening for subjects underway and perhaps even the first subject enrolled at one of our 16 sites in the U.S., Canada, and Israel.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Summer 2018 (MAPS Bulletin Vol. 28, No. 2) · own post

Short-horizon expectation for Phase 3 start.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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