Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 15 Jun 2018 · doblin-0069

Quote

Not a forecast

“The Agreement Letter is a written commitment by the FDA to approve MDMA-assisted psychotherapy for PTSD if our Phase 3 protocol design generates statistically significant results, and no new safety issues arise during Phase 3.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Spring 2018 (MAPS Bulletin Vol. 28, No. 1) · own post

Characterization of the FDA SPA Agreement Letter as a conditional commitment to approve.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.

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