Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 6 Dec 2017 · doblin-0061

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Nevertheless, we won’t know how many subjects we are going to need for Phase 3 until the interim analysis of our first Phase 3 study which we anticipate will take place near the beginning of 2019.”
· Annual Financial Report Fiscal Year 2016–17 (MAPS Bulletin Winter 2017) · own post

Interim analysis timing for the first Phase 3 MDMA/PTSD study.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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