Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“As of the beginning of November, when I finished writing this letter, MAPS has either raised or received multi-year pledges of more than $18 million of the $26 million we currently estimate we will need for FDA approval of MDMA-assisted psychotherapy for PTSD. That same $26 million may also be sufficient for subsequent approval by the European Medicines Agency (EMA), though we’ll know more after our negotiations about Phase 3 requirements with the European regulators, which we’re just starting now.”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Winter 2017 (MAPS Bulletin Vol. 27, No. 3) · own post

Cost estimate for FDA approval raised to $26 million; same sum may cover EMA approval.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.