Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“It may cost as much over the next two years—at which time prescription sales of MDMA might cover all of MAPS PBC's expenses”
· Rick Doblin – The Balance at MAPS Between Public Benefit and Private Profit (Psychedelic Alpha guest essay) · own post

By about early 2025, MDMA prescription sales could cover all MAPS PBC expenses.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.