Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Void · Coders disagree

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

“we have at least a 90 percent or greater probability of obtaining statistical significance when the other people are finished the study”
· The Tim Ferriss Show #440: Rick Doblin — The Psychedelic Domino That Tips All Others (transcript) · podcast

The first MDMA Phase 3 trial (MAPP1) has a 90%+ chance of reaching statistical significance on its primary endpoint.