Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Rick Doblin · Said 18 Nov 2018 · doblin-0004

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“We anticipate our U.S. Phase 3 trials will take about two years to complete, at which point the data will be submitted to the FDA”
· From the Desk of Rick Doblin, Ph.D. – Winter 2018 (MAPS Bulletin) · own post

US Phase 3 program done and NDA data submitted by about late 2020.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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