Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Report or scoop

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Christian Angermayer · Said 5 Jun 2024 · angermayer-0077

Quote

Report or scoop

“this is a non-binding vote from an FDA public advisory committee and not the FDA’s ultimate decision on Lykos’ NDA, which is expected by August 11.”
· Activists are not necessarily drug developers · own post

Same post; states the expected PDUFA date for the Lykos MDMA NDA.

The statement passes on information rather than an expectation: cites sources ('I am told', 'sources say'), or names a date for another organization's internal action (layoffs, hires, closures) 30 days or less ahead. Listed in the reports table with a confirmation rate, never scored.

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